PENGARUH REALISASI BELANJA PEMERINTAH TERHADAP KRIMINALITAS DI KOTA PEKANBARU MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)

  • Fajar Fadly Sekolah Tinggi Ekonomi Islam (STEI) Iqra Annisa Pekanbaru

Abstract

This study aims to see how the relationship between government spending in Pekanbaru with the number of crimes in Pekanbaru. In this study government spending is used as an independent variable is in the field of education, economy, security and order as well as social protection. In this study using the method of Error Correction Model (ECM) to see the effect both in the long and short term of the regression equation used. Where to make sure there is a linkage in the equation the effect in the long term and short term (cointegration) on the variables of the study.  It was found that there is a cointegration relationship and in the long run all independent variables have no real (significant) effect on crime in Pekanbaru. Whereas in the short term, only economic spending and social protection have a significant effect with negative economic correlates to crime and positive social protection correlates to crime.

Keywords: Belanja Pemerintah, Kriminalitas, ECM

References

Aditia, N. M. A., & Dewi, N. P. M. (2018). Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Di Bidang Pendidikan, Kesehatan Dan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Di Provinsi Bali.

Basuki, A. T. (2016). MODEL ECM. In Bahan Ajar Model ECM. https://ekonometrikblog.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/model-ecm.pdf

Becker, G. S., & Landes, W. M. (1974). Essays in the economics of crime and punishment. National Bureau of Economic Research : distributed by Columbia University Press.

Becsi, Z. (1999). Economic and Crimes in The States. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review First Quarter.

Bintang, B. (2022, Agustus). Hati-hati! Ini Modus Baru Begal di Wilayah Panam Pekanbaru, Polisi Buru Pelaku. Cakaplah. https://www.cakaplah.com/berita/baca/87930/2022/08/04/hatihati-ini-modus-baru-begal-di-wilayah-panam-pekanbaru-polisi-buru-pelaku/#sthash.7vi7TMpX.dpbs

Chalfin, A. (2015). Economic Costs of Crime. In W. G. Jennings (Ed.), The Encyclopedia of Crime and Punishment (pp. 1–12). John Wiley & Sons, Inc. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118519639.wbecpx193

Deshpande, M., & Mueller-Smith, M. (2022). Does Welfare Prevent Crime? The Criminal Justice Outcomes of Youth Removed from Ssi. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(4), 2263–2307. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac017

DJPK, D. (2023). APBD, Realisasi APBD, dan Neraca Setelah Tahun 2006 Direktorat Jendral Perimbangan Keuangan Kementerian Keuangan [Laporan Tahunan]. https://djpk.kemenkeu.go.id/?p=5412

Firdaus, A. (2021, Desember). Sepanjang 2021, Polresta Pekanbaru tangani 1.450 kasus kriminal. Antara.

Gujarati, G., Porter, Dawn. c, & Mardanugraha, E. (2015). Dasar-dasar ekonometrika buku (Basic Econometrics) (5th ed.). Salemba Empat. https://inlislite.kalselprov.go.id/opac/detail-opac?id=36611

Hidayat, A. (2018). Regresi Linear Berganda: Penjelasan, Contoh, Tutorial. Www.Statistikian.Com. https://www.statistikian.com/2018/01/penjelasan-tutorial-regresi-linear-berganda.html

Kominfo6. (2022, September 15). Pj Walikota Himbau Warga tak Keluar Rumah Tengah Malam. Pekanbaru.Go.Id. https://www.pekanbaru.go.id/p/news/pj-walikota-himbau-warga-tak-keluar-rumah-tengah-malam

Lochner, L. (2007). Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System. American Economic Review, 97(1), 444–460. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.1.444

Meloni, O. (2014). Does poverty relief spending reduce crime? Evidence from Argentina. International Review of Law and Economics, 39, 28–38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irle.2014.05.002

Ramdayani, S. S., Kharisma, B., & Wibowo, K. (2019). Local Government Spending on Social Protection, Security Order, and Crime. Jurnal Economia, 15(2), 259–274. https://doi.org/10.21831/economia.v15i2.26828

Sodeyfi, S., & Katircioglu, S. (2016). Interactions between business conditions, economic growth and crude oil prices. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 29(1), 980–990. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2016.1235504

Sugiharti, L., Esquivias, M. A., Shaari, M. S., Agustin, L., & Rohmawati, H. (2022). Criminality and Income Inequality in Indonesia. Social Sciences, 11(3), 142. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci11030142

Sulistyo, H., & Makhfatih, A. (2014). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Kriminalitas Di Indonesia Tahun 2007-2011. Perpustakaan Universitas Gadjah Mada.

Sumantri, R. (2019). The Effectiveness of Distribution of Zakat Funds on ZDC South Sumatra.

Zhang, C., Allafi, W., Dinh, Q., Ascencio, P., & Marco, J. (2018). Online estimation of battery equivalent circuit model parameters and state of charge using decoupled least squares technique. Energy, 142, 678–688. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.10.043

Published
2023-08-23
Section
Articles
PDF (Bahasa Indonesia)
Abstract views: 186
downloads: 144